Non-linear Effect of Real Exchange Rate Variability with Macroeconomic Variable on Non-Petroleum Commodities of India– US Trade

Mohini Gupta and Sakshi Varshney

Foreign Trade Review, 2023, vol. 58, issue 2, 289-328

Abstract: This article aims to explore the asymmetric influence of real exchange rate volatility on India–US trade commodity-wise. In this study, the assumption of symmetric relation is neglected and assessed on the asymmetric effect of real exchange rate volatility on 90 commodities distributed under 6 industries. This study verifies short-run and long-run asymmetry effects, the short-run effect in 21 Indian exporting commodities and 19 Indian importing commodities. However, the short-run effect lasting onto the long run in 16 exporting commodities and 27 importing commodities strongly supports the J-curve. Also, non-linear causality is witnessed in this study running from real exchange rate variability to export trade and import trade. The empirical analyses explain that commodities will benefit the export or import growth with the depreciation of exchange rate or discouraging with the appreciation of exchange rate. The findings of the study provide a view for policy making. JEL Codes: C22, F1, F14, F31, O19

Keywords: Real exchange rate volatility; non-linear causality; asymmetry; trade; India (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00157325221077004 (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:fortra:v:58:y:2023:i:2:p:289-328

DOI: 10.1177/00157325221077004

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Foreign Trade Review
Bibliographic data for series maintained by SAGE Publications ().