A Dynamic Relationship between Financial Development and Import Demand for Bangladesh: An Evidence from Combine Cointegration and Granger Causality Approach

Muhammad Ahad () and Adeel Ahmad Dar

Global Business Review, 2018, vol. 19, issue 3, 543-555

Abstract: This article has estimated the impact of financial development on import demand over the period of 1986: Q1–2014: Q4 in case of Bangladesh. The long-run relationship between financial development, import demand and economic growth are investigated by combine cointegration. Error Correction Method (ECM) is applied to examine short-run phenomena. The unit root properties of variables are tested by augmented Dickey–Fuller test (ADF) and Philips–Perron (P–P) unit root test. Perron (1997) single structural break unit root test is also applied. The results of Bayer and Hanck (2013) combine cointegration test that reveal the existence of long-run relationship between import demand, financial development and economic growth. Financial development and economic growth have a positive and significant impact on import demand in long run as well as in short run. The lagged value of error correction method (ECMt-1) is –0.08 that is negative and significant. This indicates that change from equilibrium level of import demand is corrected by 8 per cent per quarter in a year. The results of Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) Granger causality explain that bidirectional causality exists between import demand and financial development in long run as well as short run. Similarly, bidirectional causality exists between import demand and economic growth in short run. Policymakers should focus on financial sector development for import of technology through adoption of the import substitution policy.

Keywords: Financial development; import demand; combine cointegration; VECM Granger causality; Bangladesh (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0972150917713863 (text/html)

Related works:
Working Paper: A Dynamic Relationship Between Financial Development and Import Demand for Bangladesh: An Evidence from Combine Cointegration and Granger Causality approach (2016)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:globus:v:19:y:2018:i:3:p:543-555

DOI: 10.1177/0972150917713863

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Global Business Review from International Management Institute
Bibliographic data for series maintained by SAGE Publications ().