Modeling Urban Decline: A Multilevel Economic-Demographic Model for the Dortmund Region

Michael Wegener
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Michael Wegener: Institut fur Raumplanung, Universitfit Dortmund, D-4600 Dortmund 50 Federal Republic of Germany

International Regional Science Review, 1982, vol. 7, issue 2, 217-241

Abstract: Selected results of a multilevel dynamic simulation model of the economic and demographic development of the urban region of Dortmund are presented. In particular, the capability of the model to capture both urban growth and urban decline processes is illustrated. The mechanisms that control spatial growth, decline, or redistribution of activities in the model are first outlined, and a demonstration of how the model reproduces the general pattern of past spatial development follows. Finally, results of simulations covering a wide range of potential overall economic and demographic development in the region are discussed.

Date: 1982
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:inrsre:v:7:y:1982:i:2:p:217-241

DOI: 10.1177/016001768200700207

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