Prioritizing investment in military cyber capability using risk analysis

Cayt Rowe, Hossein Seif Zadeh, Ivan L. Garanovich, Li Jiang, Daniel Bilusich, Rick Nunes-Vaz and Anthony Ween

The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation, 2019, vol. 16, issue 3, 321-333

Abstract: Defense capability planning traditionally uses scenario-based war-gaming to support force design decision making and to prioritize investment. Some aspects of cyber warfare are problematic for war-gaming, such as poor characterization of cyber effects and difficulty estimating the true capability of own and opposing forces. In addition, strategic-level assessments typically draw on the expert judgment of senior officers, whose tactical experience likely precedes cyber warfare, and this will limit their intuition in the emerging cyber domain. Risk analysis, and specifically the strategic risk framework, is an alternative approach to prioritizing investment in cyber capabilities, which is well-suited to analysis of cross-domain and whole-of-government functions. This paper illustrates the application of risk analysis to cyber risk for the novel purpose of developing insights for whole-of-force capability analysis.

Keywords: Risk analysis; force design; military cyber capability; investment prioritisation; strategic risk framework (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1548512917707077 (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:joudef:v:16:y:2019:i:3:p:321-333

DOI: 10.1177/1548512917707077

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation
Bibliographic data for series maintained by SAGE Publications ().