Cognition, conflict, and doctrine: How groupthink fails on a Clausewitz landscape

Rodrick Wallace

The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation, 2020, vol. 17, issue 2, 137-142

Abstract: Real-time conflict takes place on Clausewitz landscapes most notably marked by fog-of-war and frictional limits, uncertainties, and misperceptions. Imposition of such factors on an opponent is, in fact, a standard tactic of confrontation, from courts of law to commerce, from political campaigns to the battlefield. Time-constrained optimization models of institutional effectiveness, based on ‘anytime algorithm’ methods, suggest that the burden of doctrinal groupthink may become synergistic with fog-of-war and friction to greatly compromise the ability of an institution to respond to shadow price demands imposed by a contending agent or environment. A different, and more direct, approach via a ‘simple’ stochastic model, provides similar insight.

Keywords: Anytime algorithm; mathematical modeling; optimization (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:joudef:v:17:y:2020:i:2:p:137-142

DOI: 10.1177/1548512919843642

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