Medical Decision Making

1981 - 2025

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Volume 45, issue 6, 2025

STEER: Open Access Resources for Conducting Structured Expert Elicitation for Health Care Decision Making pp. 627-639

Dina Jankovic, James Horscroft, Dawn Lee, Laura Bojke and Marta Soares

So You’ve Got a High AUC, Now What? An Overview of Important Considerations when Bringing Machine-Learning Models from Computer to Bedside pp. 640-653

Jiawen Deng, Mohamed E. Elghobashy, Kathleen Zang, Shubh K. Patel, Eddie Guo and Kiyan Heybati

Postpartum Sterilization after a Preterm Delivery Is Not Associated with Decision Regret pp. 654-664

Marika Toscano, Sarah J. Betstadt, Sara Spielman, Gayathri Guru Murthy and Brooke A. Levandowski

Clinical Notes Contain Limited Documentation of Shared Decision Making for Colorectal Cancer Screening Decisions pp. 665-674

Brittney Mancini, Joshua Siar, Kathrene Diane Valentine, Leigh Simmons, Lauren Leavitt and Karen Sepucha

Comparing Potential Contributors of Health-Related Quality of Life and Mortality Among US Older Adults pp. 675-689

Haomiao Jia and Erica I. Lubetkin

The Impact of Machine Learning Mortality Risk Prediction on Clinician Prognostic Accuracy and Decision Support: A Randomized Vignette Study pp. 690-702

Ravi B. Parikh, William J. Ferrell, Anthony Girard, Jenna White, Sophia Fang, Justin E. Bekelman and Marilyn M. Schapira

Decision Frameworks for Assessing Cost-Effectiveness Given Previous Nonoptimal Decisions pp. 703-713

Doug Coyle, David Glynn, Jeremy D. Goldhaber-Fiebert and Edward C. F. Wilson

Impact of Limited Sample Size and Follow-up on Partitioned Survival and Multistate Modeling-Based Health Economic Models: A Simulation Study pp. 714-725

Jaclyn M. Beca, Kelvin K. W. Chan, David M. J. Naimark and Petros Pechlivanoglou

Relative Survival Modeling for Appraising the Cost-Effectiveness of Life-Extending Treatments: An Application to Tafamidis for the Treatment of Transthyretin Amyloidosis with Cardiomyopathy pp. 726-739

Robert Young, Jack Said and Sam Large

Mapping and Linking between the EQ-5D-5L and the PROMIS Domains in the United States pp. 740-752

Xiaodan Tang, Ron D. Hays, David Cella, Sarah Acaster, Benjamin David Schalet, Asia Sikora Kessler, Montserrat Vera Llonch and Janel Hanmer

Facilitators and Barriers of the Use of Prognostic Models for Clinical Decision Making in Acute Neurologic Care: A Systematic Review pp. 753-770

Ellen X. Y. Hu, Evelien S. van Hoorn, Isabel R. A. Retel Helmrich, Susanne Muehlschlegel, Judith A. C. Rietjens and Hester F. Lingsma

Volume 45, issue 5, 2025

Modeling Disability-Adjusted Life-Years for Policy and Decision Analysis pp. 483-495

Ashley A. Leech, Jinyi Zhu, Hannah Peterson, Marie H. Martin, Grace Ratcliff, Shawn Garbett and John A. Graves

Motivated Interpretations of Survival Rates in Icon Arrays: An Issue of Frequency Format? pp. 496-509

Jeremy D. Strueder, Inkyung Park, Siobhan M. McDonnell, Mir A. Basir and Paul D. Windschitl

Exploring Values Clarification and Health-Literate Design in Patient Decision Aids: A Qualitative Interview Study pp. 510-521

Julie Ayre, Hazel Jenkins, Richie Kumarage, Kirsten J. McCaffery, Christopher G. Maher and Mark J. Hancock

Linking Patient Perceptions of Shared Decision Making to Satisfaction in Lung Cancer Screening Decisions pp. 522-532

Stephanie A. Robinson, Anna M. Barker, Gemmae M. Fix, Marla L. Clayman, Abigail N. Herbst, Julie C. White and Renda Soylemez Wiener

Cancer Patients’ Experiences of Burden when Involved in Treatment Decision Making pp. 533-544

Fiorella L. Huijgens, Marij A. Hillen, Mette J. Huisinga, André N. Vis, Corinne N. Tillier, Hester S. A. Oldenburg, Gwen M. P. Diepenhorst and Inge Henselmans

Optimizing the Harms and Benefits of Cervical Screening in a Partially Vaccinated Population in Ontario, Canada: A Modeling Study pp. 545-556

Daniël D. de Bondt, Erik E. L. Jansen, Christine Stogios, Bronwen R. McCurdy, Rachel Kupets, Joan Murphy, Dustin Costescu, Linda Rabeneck, Rebecca Truscott, Jan A. C. Hontelez and Inge M. C. M. de Kok

Stress-Testing US Colorectal Cancer Screening Guidelines: Decennial Colonoscopy from Age 45 is Robust to Natural History Uncertainty and Colonoscopy Sensitivity Assumptions pp. 557-568

Pedro Nascimento de Lima, Christopher Maerzluft, Jonathan Ozik, Nicholson Collier and Carolyn M. Rutter

Evaluating Semi-Markov Processes and Other Epidemiological Time-to-Event Models by Computing Disease Sojourn Density as Partial Differential Equations pp. 569-586

Joachim Worthington, Eleonora Feletto, Emily He, Stephen Wade, Barbara de Graaff, Anh Le Tuan Nguyen, Jacob George, Karen Canfell and Michael Caruana

Machine Learning–Based Prediction to Support ICU Admission Decision Making among Very Old Patients with Respiratory Infections: A Proof of Concept on a Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study pp. 587-601

Lionel Tchatat Wangueu, Arthur Kassa-Sombo, Guy Ilango, Christophe Gaborit, Mustapha Si-Tahar, Leslie Grammatico-Guillon and Antoine Guillon

Co-designing a Structured Expert Elicitation with Clinicians to Enhance Health Care Decision Making in Exercise Oncology pp. 602-613

Yufan Wang, Alexandra L. McCarthy and Haitham Tuffaha

The “Stock of Time†Method: A New Approach to Calculate Indirect Costs and Benefits in Economic Evaluations pp. 614-622

Lucy Kok and Carl Koopmans

46th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making, Boston, Massachusetts, United States, 26-30 October 2024 pp. NP1-NP330

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Volume 45, issue 4, 2025

Health State Utility Values: The Implications of Patient versus Community Ratings in Assessing the Value of Care pp. 347-357

Risha Gidwani, Katherine W. Saylor and Louise Russell

Methodological Approaches for Incorporating Marginalized Populations into HPV Vaccine Modeling: A Systematic Review pp. 358-369

Jennifer C. Spencer, Juan Yanguela, Lisa P. Spees, Olufeyisayo O. Odebunmi, Anna A. Ilyasova, Caitlin B. Biddell, Kristen Hassmiller Lich, Sarah D. Mills, Colleen R. Higgins, Sachiko Ozawa and Stephanie B. Wheeler

A Nonparametric Approach for Estimating the Effective Sample Size in Gaussian Approximation of Expected Value of Sample Information pp. 370-375

Linke Li, Hawre Jalal and Anna Heath

Immediate Death: Not So Bad If You Discount the Future but Still Worse than It Should Be pp. 376-384

Eleanor M. Pullenayegum, Marcel F. Jonker, Henry Bailey and Bram Roudijk

Optimizing Face Validity and Clinical Relevance of a Mathematical Population Cancer Epidemiology Model Using a Novel Advisory Group Approach pp. 385-398

Louise Davies, Sara Fernandes-Taylor, Natalia Arroyo, Yichi Zhang, Oguzhan Alagoz and David O. Francis

Understanding Delayed Diabetes Diagnosis: An Agent-Based Model of Health-Seeking Behavior pp. 399-425

Firouzeh Rosa Taghikhah, Araz Jabbari, Kevin C. Desouza, Arunima Malik and Hadi A. Khorshidi

The Effect of a Surgeon Communication Strategy on Treatment Preference for Thyroid Cancer: A Randomized Trial pp. 426-436

Catherine B. Jensen, Brandy Sinco, Megan C. Saucke, Kyle J. Bushaw, Alexis G. Antunez, Corrine I. Voils and Susan C. Pitt

The Effect of Patient Decision Aid Attributes on Patient Outcomes: A Network Meta-Analysis of a Systematic Review pp. 437-448

Dawn Stacey, Meg Carley, Janet Gunderson, Shu-Ching Hsieh, Shannon E. Kelly, Krystina B. Lewis, Maureen Smith, Robert J. Volk and George Wells

Do Treatment Choices by Artificial Intelligence Correspond to Reality? Retrospective Comparative Research with Necrotizing Enterocolitis as a Use Case pp. 449-461

Rosa Verhoeven, Stella Mulia, Elisabeth M. W. Kooi and Jan B. F. Hulscher

People Living with Chronic Pain Experience a High Prevalence of Decision Regret in Canada: A Pan-Canadian Online Survey pp. 462-479

Florian Naye, Yannick Tousignant-Laflamme, Maxime Sasseville, Chloé Cachinho, Thomas Gérard, Karine Toupin-April, Olivia Dubois, Jean-Sébastien Paquette, Annie LeBlanc, Isabelle Gaboury, Marie-Ève Poitras, Linda C. Li, Alison M. Hoens, Marie-Dominique Poirier, France Légaré and Simon Décary

Volume 45, issue 3, 2025

Directed Acyclic Graphs in Decision-Analytic Modeling: Bridging Causal Inference and Effective Model Design in Medical Decision Making pp. 223-231

Stijntje W. Dijk, Maurice Korf, Jeremy A. Labrecque, Ankur Pandya, Bart S. Ferket, Lára R. Hallsson, John B. Wong, Uwe Siebert and M. G. Myriam Hunink

Expected Value of Sample Information Calculations for Risk Prediction Model Validation pp. 232-244

Mohsen Sadatsafavi, Andrew J. Vickers, Tae Yoon Lee, Paul Gustafson and Laure Wynants

Development of a Microsimulation Model to Project the Future Prevalence of Childhood Cancer in Ontario, Canada pp. 245-256

Alexandra Moskalewicz, Sumit Gupta, Paul C. Nathan and Petros Pechlivanoglou

Recalibrating an Established Microsimulation Model to Capture Trends and Projections of Colorectal Cancer Incidence and Mortality pp. 257-275

Jie-Bin Lew, Qingwei Luo, Joachim Worthington, Han Ge, Emily He, Julia Steinberg, Michael Caruana, Dianne L. O’Connell, Eleonora Feletto and Karen Canfell

Changing Time Representation in Microsimulation Models pp. 276-285

Eric Kai-Chung Wong, Wanrudee Isaranuwatchai, Joanna E. M. Sale, Andrea C. Tricco, Sharon E. Straus and David M. J. Naimark

Segmenting the Population and Estimating Transition Probabilities Using Data on Health and Health-Related Social Service Needs from the US Health and Retirement Study pp. 286-301

Lize Duminy

Development of a Decision Model to Estimate the Outcomes of Treatment Sequences in Advanced Melanoma pp. 302-317

Saskia de Groot, Hedwig M. Blommestein, Brenda Leeneman, Carin A. Uyl- de Groot, John B. A. G. Haanen, Michel W. J. M. Wouters, Maureen J. B. Aarts, Franchette W. P. J. van den Berkmortel, Willeke A. M. Blokx, Marye J. Boers-Sonderen, Alfons J. M. van den Eertwegh, Jan Willem B. de Groot, Geke A. P. Hospers, Ellen Kapiteijn, Olivier J. van Not, Astrid A. M. van der Veldt, Karijn P. M. Suijkerbuijk and Pieter H. M. van Baal

Leveling up: Treating Uptake as Endogenous May Increase the Value of Screening Programs pp. 318-331

Jose A. Robles-Zurita, Neil Hawkins and Janet Bouttell

Health Utilities in People with Hepatitis C Virus Infection: A Study Using Real-World Population-Level Data pp. 332-343

Yasmin A. Saeed, Nicholas Mitsakakis, Jordan J. Feld, Murray D. Krahn, Jeffrey C. Kwong and William W. L. Wong

Volume 45, issue 2, 2025

Microsimulation Estimates of Decision Uncertainty and Value of Information Are Biased but Consistent pp. 127-142

Jeremy D. Goldhaber-Fiebert, Hawre Jalal and Fernando Alarid-Escudero

How Inclusive Are Patient Decision Aids for People with Limited Health Literacy? An Analysis of Understandability Criteria and the Communication about Options and Probabilities pp. 143-155

Romy Richter, Jesse Jansen, Josine van der Kraan, Wais Abbaspoor, Iris Bongaerts, Fleur Pouwels, Celine Vilters, Jany Rademakers and Trudy van der Weijden

Physician-Patient Communication about Novel Drugs and High-Risk Medical Devices pp. 156-167

Sanket S. Dhruva, Aaron S. Kesselheim, Steven Woloshin, Robin Z. Ji, Zhigang Lu, Jonathan J. Darrow and Rita F. Redberg

Changes in Risk Tolerance for Ovarian Cancer Prevention Strategies during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Results of a Discrete Choice Experiment pp. 168-176

Brian L. Egleston, Mary B. Daly, Kaitlyn Lew, Lisa Bealin, Alexander D. Husband, Jill E. Stopfer, Pawel Przybysz, Olga Tchuvatkina, Yu-Ning Wong, Judy E. Garber and Timothy R. Rebbeck

Communicating on Vaccine Benefit-Risk Ratios: A Discrete-Choice Experiment among Health Care Professionals and the General Population in France pp. 177-191

Lucia Araujo Chaveron, Jonathan Sicsic, Cyril Olivier, Gerard Pellissier, Elisabeth Bouvet and Judith E. Mueller

Testing an HPV Vaccine Decision Aid for 27- to 45-Year-Old Adults in the United States: A Randomized Trial pp. 192-204

Erika L. Thompson, Justin Luningham, Sarah A. Alkhatib, Jessica Grace, Idara N. Akpan, Ellen M. Daley, Gregory D. Zimet and Christopher W. Wheldon

A Fast Nonparametric Sampling Method for Time to Event in Individual-Level Simulation Models pp. 205-213

David U. Garibay-Treviño, Hawre Jalal and Fernando Alarid-Escudero

A Parsimonious Approach to Remediate Concerns about QALY-Based Discrimination pp. 214-219

Ronald Scott Braithwaite

Volume 45, issue 1, 2025

A Sequential Calibration Approach to Address Challenges of Repeated Calibration of a COVID-19 Model pp. 3-16

Eva A. Enns, Zongbo Li, Shannon B. McKearnan, Szu-Yu Zoe Kao, Erinn C. Sanstead, Alisha Baines Simon, Pamela J. Mink, Stefan Gildemeister and Karen M. Kuntz

Multi-indication Evidence Synthesis in Oncology Health Technology Assessment: Meta-analysis Methods and Their Application to a Case Study of Bevacizumab pp. 17-33

Janharpreet Singh, Sumayya Anwer, Stephen Palmer, Pedro Saramago, Anne Thomas, Sofia Dias, Marta O Soares and Sylwia Bujkiewicz

Unclear Trajectory and Uncertain Benefit: Creating a Lexicon for Clinical Uncertainty in Patients with Critical or Advanced Illness Using a Delphi Consensus Process pp. 34-44

Samuel K. McGowan, Maria-Jose Corrales-Martinez, Teva Brender, Alexander K. Smith, Shannen Kim, Krista L. Harrison, Hunter Mills, Albert Lee, David Bamman and Julien Cobert

Using QALYs as an Outcome for Assessing Global Prediction Accuracy in Diabetes Simulation Models pp. 45-59

Helen A. Dakin, Ni Gao, José Leal, Rury R. Holman, An Tran-Duy and Philip Clarke

Assessing Methods for Adjusting Estimates of Treatment Effectiveness for Patient Nonadherence in the Context of Time-to-Event Outcomes and Health Technology Assessment: A Simulation Study pp. 60-73

Abualbishr Alshreef, Nicholas Latimer, Paul Tappenden and Simon Dixon

Awareness of Disease Incurability Moderates the Association between Patients’ Health Status and Their Treatment Preferences pp. 74-85

Louisa Camille Poco, Ishwarya Balasubramanian, Isha Chaudhry and Chetna Malhotra

Veterans’ Lung Cancer Risk Conceptualizations versus Lung Cancer Screening Shared Decision-Making Conversations with Clinicians: A Qualitative Study pp. 86-96

Jacqueline H. Boudreau, Rendelle E. Bolton, Eduardo R. Núñez, Tanner J. Caverly, Lauren Kearney, Samantha Sliwinski, Abigail N. Herbst, Christopher G. Slatore and Renda Soylemez Wiener

A Longitudinal Study of the Association of Awareness of Disease Incurability with Patient-Reported Outcomes in Heart Failure pp. 97-108

Jia Jia Lee, Chetna Malhotra, Kheng Leng David Sim, Khung Keong Yeo, Eric Finkelstein and Semra Ozdemir

Use of Adaptive Conjoint Analysis–Based Values Clarification in a Patient Decision Aid Is Not Associated with Better Perceived Values Clarity or Reduced Decisional Conflict but Enhances Values Congruence pp. 109-123

Nida Gizem Yılmaz, Arwen H. Pieterse, Danielle R. M. Timmermans, Annemarie Becker, Birgit Witte-Lissenberg and Olga C. Damman