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Establishing Critical Turning-Points in Temporal Variation

George K. Jarvis
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George K. Jarvis: Department of Sociology University of Western Ontario

Sociological Methods & Research, 1974, vol. 2, issue 4, 455-484

Abstract: This paper presents several methods of analyzing a time series in conjunction with variables which are available only for census years. Within the framework of diffusion theory, the time series of automobile registrations per capita is examined first in terms of the existence, extent, and pattern of variation over the years 1910 to 1969. By means of simple graphic techniques, measures of central tendency, interannual correlations, and smallest-space analysis, turning-points in temporal variation are established. Cross-sectional path analysis with collateral social and economic variables at these important junctures permits substantive interpretation of the pattern of automobile diffusion in the United States.

Date: 1974
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:somere:v:2:y:1974:i:4:p:455-484

DOI: 10.1177/004912417400200404

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