Asia versus Oceania: Comparative Net Shifts in Tourist Arrivals

Chau Vu and Lindsay Turner
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Chau Vu: School of Applied Economics and Tourism Research Centre, Victoria University, PO Box 14428 MC, Melbourne, Victoria 8001, Australia
Lindsay Turner: School of Applied Economics and Tourism Research Centre, Victoria University, PO Box 14428 MC, Melbourne, Victoria 8001, Australia

Tourism Economics, 2006, vol. 12, issue 4, 519-529

Abstract: The study examines tourist arrivals from 1990 to 2002 inclusive in a selection of Asian and Oceania countries, and forecasts arrivals in each region from each other region for 2005–07. The analysis shows that from 2000 to 2002 Asia had a competitive advantage over Oceania in travel from Africa, the Americas, Europe and the Middle East. Also, during 1995–2000, Asia failed to attract visitor arrivals from Africa and Europe but gained more from the Americas compared to Oceania. The future net shifts in visitor arrivals in Asia between 2002 and 2007 suggest that, compared to Oceania, there will be a negative net shift of 859,819 and that Asia will be competitively inferior to Oceania with respect to Africa, Europe and the Middle East.

Keywords: forecasting; tourism trade; tourism impacts; trade shift; shift share (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:toueco:v:12:y:2006:i:4:p:519-529

DOI: 10.5367/000000006779320051

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