The Prospective Impact of Climate Change on Tourism and Regional Economic Development: A Simulation Study for Bavaria

Anja Soboll, Tobias Klier and Stefan Heumann

Tourism Economics, 2012, vol. 18, issue 1, 139-157

Abstract: In recent years, climate change and its economic effects increasingly have become the focus of public attention. Previous investigations, however, have dealt with large spatial units and thus have blurred small-scale distinctions. This paper analyses the future economic impacts of climate change at the regional level in order to ascertain local positive and negative development trends. To this end, scenarios based on different climate, societal and economic trends are used to estimate on an unprecedented small scale prospective tourism demand and the derived economic development for the districts studied.

Keywords: climate change; climate impact research; regional economic effects; statistical modelling; scenario analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:toueco:v:18:y:2012:i:1:p:139-157

DOI: 10.5367/te.2012.0103

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