Terrorism and tourism in Israel

Marion Karl, Gordon Winder and Alexander Bauer
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Marion Karl: LMU Munich, Germany
Gordon Winder: LMU Munich, Germany
Alexander Bauer: LMU Munich, Germany

Tourism Economics, 2017, vol. 23, issue 6, 1343-1352

Abstract: While the relation between terrorism and tourism has been an important topic for tourism research, the questions whether terrorism affects tourism immediately and how long after a terrorism event tourism recovers are, as yet, not clearly answered. The aim of this article is to better understand the magnitude and temporal scale of the impact of terrorism on tourism. To this end, a research model differentiating between short-term and long-term effects of terrorism on tourism is developed and analyzed for the destination Israel using data on tourists from Germany. The results show both short-term and long-term impacts with a time lag between the terrorist event and the beginning of tourism decline of 1 or up to 6 months. An economic influence on the development of tourist arrivals was not detected, but seasonality plays an important role in the relationship between terrorism and tourism.

Keywords: Germany; Israel; regression analysis; terrorism; time series; tourism demand (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:toueco:v:23:y:2017:i:6:p:1343-1352

DOI: 10.1177/1354816616686417

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