Hot topics and emerging trends in tourism forecasting research: A scientometric review

Han Liu, Ying Liu, Yonglian Wang and Changchun Pan
Additional contact information
Han Liu: Jilin University, China
Ying Liu: Jilin University, China
Yonglian Wang: Jilin University of Finance and Economics, China
Changchun Pan: Jilin University, China

Tourism Economics, 2019, vol. 25, issue 3, 448-468

Abstract: Tourism forecasting has been a focal point of tourism research over the past few decades as a result of the corresponding rapid development and expansion of the tourism industry. A bibliometric analysis, based on 543 articles retrieved from the Web of Science Core Collection database, was carried out to provide insights into hot topics as well as emerging trends in tourism forecasting research. The results show that the research outputs related to tourism forecasting have grown rapidly since 2006. The observed hot topics in tourism forecasting were to predict tourism demand via various models, including time series models, econometric models, and artificial intelligence-based methods, and to compare the forecasting accuracy of models. An emerging trend of tourism forecasting is to use methods based on data from a web-based search engine. Our study provides insights and valuable information for researchers to identify new perspectives on hot topics and research frontiers.

Keywords: bibliometric analysis; CiteSpace; knowledge mapping; research frontiers; scientometrics; tourism forecasting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (13)

Downloads: (external link)
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1354816618810564 (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:toueco:v:25:y:2019:i:3:p:448-468

DOI: 10.1177/1354816618810564

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Tourism Economics
Bibliographic data for series maintained by SAGE Publications ().