Changing a Decision Taken under Uncertainty: The Case of the Criminal's Location Choice

Joseph Deutsch and Gil Epstein

Urban Studies, 1998, vol. 35, issue 8, 1335-1343

Abstract: In this paper we analyse the allocation of criminal activity over the metropolitan area over time. At each period of time, the criminal must choose in which area to commit his/her next offence. The criminal's expectations regarding his/her utility as a function of the probability to be apprehended are updated in the process of work. We find general conditions, under which the criminal determines his optimal location strategy. A direct policy implication of our model suggests that spillover effect is the result of changing police activities.

Date: 1998
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:35:y:1998:i:8:p:1335-1343

DOI: 10.1080/0042098984385

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