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PROGNOSTICATION OF PRODUCTION OF GOODS ON THE BASIS OF FUZZY SETS

Olesya Totska and Alexandru Nedelea
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Olesya Totska: Volyn National University, Ukraine

The Annals of the "Stefan cel Mare" University of Suceava. Fascicle of The Faculty of Economics and Public Administration, 2009, vol. 9, issue 1(9), 11-15

Abstract: In the article the authors forecast the issue of commodities by the enterprises of food retail industry of the Volyn region of Ukraine by the use of the fuzzy sets theory. The algorithm of such foresight consists in passing of the following stages: construction of dynamic rows of issue of ten basic food stuffs in the last few years; equipping them after growth; construction fuzzy interval for every commodity; determination optimistic estimation for every index. On the basis of obtained information the ge neral issue of food products is calculated also in next years. Determination of optimistic estimation is conducted after the original method developed by an author. Basic its idea consists in that an interval which answers the “golden” mean of dynamic row is most credible.

Keywords: fuzzy intervals; food retail industry; production of goods; optimistic estimation; pessimistic estimation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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