Continuation of Monetary Crisis of 2014 in Russia is Inevitable

Alexey Fedorov
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Alexey Fedorov: THE RUSSIAN ACADEMIC JOURNAL

The Russian Academic Journal, 2015, vol. 31, issue 1

Abstract:

The article is reproducing analysis of relation of foreign currency reserves of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation and the quantityof minted money (M2) for the last 10 years. A well-founded conclusion is drawing: from after 2010 the quantity of money mintedby the government of Russia was far of excess of the quantity the metallic reserve storing allowed. The maximum gap between realquantity of Rubles and currency holdings fall within the end of 2014. Unrestrained emission of Rubles allocated for defense resulted inthe first correction in value of the Ruble; the point at issue is December 14, 2014- the day when the Rouble depreciated on 7 % againstwestern currencies – the US dollar and the Euro. Taken as a whole, within a year the exchange rate of the Rouble to the dollar fall onmore than 55 %, so, on pace of depreciation, the Rouble turned the one of weakest currencies in the world. However, in the author’sopinion, this correction did not affect the activities of the Russian authorities and this can result in further external imbalance in thecountry and in further crash of the Russian ruble.

Keywords: Ruble, currency crisis, Russia, depreciation of the Rouble, currency, the Central Bank of Russia. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015-05-05
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:scn:000raj:354

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