Прогнозирование динамики социально-экономических систем

Родионов Вячеслав Георгиевич
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Родионов Вячеслав Георгиевич: СПбГУ

Vestnik of the St. Petersburg University. Series 5. Economics Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Серия 5. Экономика, 2007, issue 2, 49-57

Abstract: The article is dedicated to the methods of regulation of social economic systems development under the growing uncertainty. The scheme of active management is offered. The geometric form, reflecting the dynamics of the process is proved. The author determined parameters of the order of dynamic model, namely employment and its effectiveness. Also a technique of estimation of instability level of social economic system on the base of calculation of the fluctuations amplitude is suggested. The model forecasting the GDP growth rate on the base of neural networks is offered.

Date: 2007
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:scn:003571:14907540

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