Foresight in civil shipbuilding — 2030

Yuri Dekhtyaruk, Igor Karyshev, Maria Korableva, Natalia Velikanova, Anastasia Edelkina, Oleg Karasev, Marina Klubova, Anna Bogomolova and Natalia Dyshkant
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Yuri Dekhtyaruk: Krylov State Research Centre. Address: 44 Moscow highway, 196158, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation
Igor Karyshev: Krylov State Research Centre. Address: 44 Moscow highway, 196158, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation
Maria Korableva: Krylov State Research Centre. Address: 44 Moscow highway, 196158, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation
Natalia Velikanova: National Research University — Higher School of Economics, Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge. Address: National Research University — Higher School of Economics, 20 Myasnitskaya str., Moscow, 101000, Russian Federation
Oleg Karasev: National Research University — Higher School of Economics, Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge. Address: National Research University — Higher School of Economics, 20 Myasnitskaya str., Moscow, 101000, Russian Federation
Marina Klubova: National Research University — Higher School of Economics, Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge. Address: National Research University — Higher School of Economics, 20 Myasnitskaya str., Moscow, 101000, Russian Federation
Anna Bogomolova: Moscow State University. Address: 1, Building 46, Lenskiye Gory, GSP-1, Moscow, 119991, Russian Federation
Natalia Dyshkant: Moscow State University. Address: 1, Building 46, Lenskiye Gory, GSP-1, Moscow, 119991, Russian Federation

Foresight-Russia Форсайт, 2014, vol. 8, issue 2 (eng), 30-45

Abstract: Foresight studies of future markets and technologies enable various scenarios for the shipbuilding industry to be identified. Innovative scenarios assume a shift from mass production to small-scale or even single-unit niche production under diversified demand. This should be accompanied by active promotion of competition not only in shipbuilding but in related industries too. Comparative analysis of scenarios shows that active government policies to support the production of high-technology vessels will generate multiplier effects and strengthen the competitiveness of the Russian economy.

Date: 2014
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Journal Article: Foresight in Civil Shipbuilding - 2030 (2014)
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