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THE NEXUS BETWEEN INDUSTRIAL EXPORTS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN TUNISIA: EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS

Sayef Bakari (), Mohamed Mabrouki () and Asma Elmakki ()
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Asma Elmakki: Higher Institute of Companies Administration University of Gafsa

Journal of Smart Economic Growth, 2018, vol. 3, issue 2, 31-53

Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between industrial exports and economic growth in Tunisia. In order to achieve this purpose, annual data for the periods between 1969 and 2015 were tested using the Johansen co-integration analysis of Vector Error Correction Model and the Granger-Causality tests. According to the result of the analysis, it was determined that there is a negative relationship between industrial exports and economic growth in the long run. Otherwise, and on the basis of the results of the Granger causality test, we noted the absence of a causal relationship between industrial exports and economic growth in the short term. These results provide evidence that industrial exports, thus, are not seen as the source of economic growth in Tunisia and suffer a lot of problems and poor economic strategy.

Keywords: Industrial Export; Economic Growth; Cointegration; VECM; Causality; Tunisia. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Related works:
Working Paper: The Nexus between Industrial Exports and Economic Growth in Tunisia: Empirical Analysis (2018) Downloads
Working Paper: The Nexus between Industrial Exports and Economic Growth in Tunisia: Empirical Analysis (2017) Downloads
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