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Determinants of the Government Bond Yield: Evidence from a Highly Euroised Small Open Economy

Maja Mihelja ?aja (), Drago Jakov?evi? () and Lucija Vi?i? ()
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Maja Mihelja ?aja: Faculty of Economics and Business Zagreb
Drago Jakov?evi?: Faculty of Economics and Business Zagreb
Lucija Vi?i?: Faculty of Economics and Business Zagreb

International Journal of Economic Sciences, 2018, vol. 7, issue 2, 87-106

Abstract: This paper analyses the relationship between bond market, macroeconomic fundamentals and a set of additional covariates in the Republic of Croatia, a small open economy with a very high and persistent level of euroization. The sample ranges from the year 2001 to 2017. Ordinary least squares regression is applied on the quarterly dataset to examine the major drivers of nominal yields of government bonds, whereas Multiple Breakpoint Tests are used to determine structural breaks in the variables. The results corroborate theoretical knowledge and suggest a significant effect of fiscal and financial determinants on bond yields. Variables presenting macroeconomic fundamentals explain a substantial part of Croatian trends. Therefore, policymakers seeking to improve macroeconomic conditions should learn from multi-causal studies involving these variables before setting their policies.

Keywords: government bonds; macroeconomic fundamentals; structural changes; linear regression; The Republic of Croatia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E44 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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