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Türkiye İmalat Sanayi Sektörlerinin İhracatı - Zaman Serisi Analizi

Güzin Bayar and Selman Tokpunar

Sosyoekonomi Journal, 2014, issue 21(21)

Abstract: In this study, Turkey’s export by manufacturing industry sectors was analysed. For this purpose, quarterly data between 1998q1-2012q1 for the first 4 highest exporting sectors within ISIC Rev. 3. two digit manufacturing industry sectors was used; namely, basic metal, motor vehicles, textile and clothing sectors. Long term and short term relationships between the variables were investigated using fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) and vector error correction (VEC) models. Model results show that foreign economic activity is the most important factor affecting exports of all four sectors. Increase in unit labor costs; adversely affect exports of clothing and motor vehicle sectors in the long run. Increases in unit export prices have increasing effect in all sectors except textiles. Real appreciation of Turkish Lira adversely affect only textile sector among the four.

Keywords: Exports; Time Series; Sectors; VEC; FMOLS. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 F14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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