A combined splitting—cross entropy method for rare-event probability estimation of queueing networks

M. Garvels ()

Annals of Operations Research, 2011, vol. 189, issue 1, 167-185

Abstract: We present a fast algorithm for the efficient estimation of rare-event (buffer overflow) probabilities in queueing networks. Our algorithm presents a combined version of two well known methods: the splitting and the cross-entropy (CE) method. We call the new method SPLITCE. In this method, the optimal change of measure (importance sampling) is determined adaptively by using the CE method. Simulation results for a single queue and queueing networks of the ATM-type are presented. Our numerical results demonstrate higher efficiency of the proposed method as compared to the original splitting and CE methods. In particular, for a single server queue example we demonstrate numerically that both the splitting and the SPLITCE methods can handle our buffer overflow example problems with both light and heavy tails efficiently. Further research must show the full potential of the proposed method. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2011

Keywords: Cross-entropy; Importance sampling; Rare events; Simulation; Splitting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10479-009-0608-2 (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:annopr:v:189:y:2011:i:1:p:167-185:10.1007/s10479-009-0608-2

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer.com/journal/10479

DOI: 10.1007/s10479-009-0608-2

Access Statistics for this article

Annals of Operations Research is currently edited by Endre Boros

More articles in Annals of Operations Research from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().