An ensemble forecasting model for predicting contribution of food donors based on supply behavior

Shubhra Paul and Lauren B. Davis ()
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Shubhra Paul: North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University
Lauren B. Davis: North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University

Annals of Operations Research, 2022, vol. 319, issue 1, No 39, 29 pages

Abstract: Abstract Food banks are nonprofit hunger relief organizations that collect donations from donors and distribute food to local agencies that serve people in need. Donors consist of local supermarkets, manufacturers, and community organizations. The frequency, quantity, and type of food donated by each donor can vary each month. In this research, we propose a technique to identify the supply behavior of donors and cluster them based on these attributes. We then develop a predictive ensemble model to forecast the contribution of different donor clusters. Our study shows the necessary behavioral attributes to classify donors and the best way to cluster donor data to improve the prediction model.

Keywords: Food insecurity; Forecasting; Humanitarian supply chain; Ensemble model; Clustering; ARIMA; Support vector regression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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DOI: 10.1007/s10479-021-04146-5

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