Do commodity assets hedge uncertainties? What we learn from the recent turbulence period?

Md. Bokhtiar Hasan (), Md. Naiem Hossain (), Juha Junttila, Gazi Salah Uddin () and Mustafa Raza Rabbani ()
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Md. Bokhtiar Hasan: Islamic University
Md. Naiem Hossain: Islamic University
Gazi Salah Uddin: Linköping University
Mustafa Raza Rabbani: College of Business Administration, University of Bahrain

Annals of Operations Research, 2025, vol. 345, issue 2, No 29, 1387-1420

Abstract: Abstract This study analyses the impact of different uncertainties on commodity markets to assess commodity markets' hedging or safe-haven properties. Using time-varying dynamic conditional correlation and wavelet-based Quantile-on-Quantile regression models, our findings show that, both before and during the COVID-19 crisis, soybeans and clean energy stocks offer strong safe-haven opportunities against cryptocurrency price uncertainty and geopolitical risks (GPR). Soybean markets weakly hedge cryptocurrency policy uncertainty, US economic policy uncertainty, and crude oil volatility. In addition, GSCI commodity and crude oil also offer a weak safe-haven property against cryptocurrency uncertainties and GPR. Consistent with earlier studies, our findings indicate that safe-haven traits can alter across frequencies and quantiles. Our findings have significant implications for investors and regulators in hedging and making proper decisions, respectively, under diverse uncertain circumstances.

Keywords: Uncertainties; COVID-19; Commodities; Safe-haven; DCC-GARCH; Quantile-on-quantile (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 C58 G11 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1007/s10479-022-04876-0

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