Linking sportfishing trip attributes, participation decisions, and regional economic impacts in Lower and Central Cook Inlet, Alaska

Charles Hamel (), Hans T. Geier, Mark Herrmann (), Keith Criddle and S. Todd Lee
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Charles Hamel: Department of Economics, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK 99775-6080, USA
Hans T. Geier: Department of Natural Resource Management, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK 99775-7580
Mark Herrmann: Department of Economics, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK 99775-6080, USA
S. Todd Lee: National Marine Fisheries Service, Alaska Fishery Science Center, 7600 Sand Point Way NE, Bldg 4, Seattle, WA 98115, USA

The Annals of Regional Science, 2002, vol. 36, issue 2, 247-264

Abstract: Forecasts of the regional economic impacts of changes in the demand for recreation occasioned by regulatory changes, changes in the quality of the recreation experience, or changes in average trip costs require a model that links changes in these trip attributes to individual participation decisions and population participation rates. The probability that an individual will take a particular recreational trip is described using a nonlinear random effects probit model based on variable trip attributes and individual economic and demographic characteristics. These conditional individual probabilities are transformed into predictions of changes in total recreation demand using a simulation-based sample enumeration method. The regional impacts associated with ensuing changes in primary and secondary expenditure patterns are elucidated with a stand-alone recreation-sector module linked to a regionally adjusted zip code-level input-output model. Because the participation model allows for non-constant marginal utility, primary and secondary impacts exhibit nonlinear responses to variations in trip attributes. The modeling approach is demonstrated in an application to the saltwater sport fisheries for Pacific halibut and salmon in Lower and Central Cook Inlet, Alaska.

JEL-codes: C25 C67 Q22 Q26 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2002-08-02
Note: Received: February 2001/Accepted: December 2001
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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