Do Temperature and Humidity Affect the Transmission of SARS-CoV-2?-A Flexible Regression Analysis

Md. Rezaul Karim (), Mst. Bithi Akter (), Sejuti Haque () and Nazmin Akter ()
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Md. Rezaul Karim: Jahangirnagar University
Mst. Bithi Akter: Jahangirnagar University
Sejuti Haque: Jahangirnagar University
Nazmin Akter: Jahangirnagar University

Annals of Data Science, 2022, vol. 9, issue 1, No 9, 153-173

Abstract: Abstract Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is a highly transmissible virus that causes Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Temperature and humidity are two essential factors in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 affect the respiratory system of human. This study aimed to investigate the effects of temperature and humidity on the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and the Spread Covid-19. The daily number of SARS-CoV-2 infected new cases, and the number of death due to Covid-19 are considered the response variables. Data are collected from March 08, 2020 to January 31, 2021. A flexible regression model under the Generalized Additive Models for Location Scale and Shape framework is used to analyze data. The temperature and humidity have a significant impact on the transmission of SARS-CoV-2. The temperature is highly significant in the number of SARS-CoV-2 infected new cases and number of death due to COVID-19. In contrast, the humidity is significant on the number of SARS-CoV-2 infected new cases, but it is insignificant on the number of death due to COVID-19 at a 5% level of significance. The analysis revealed that both the temperature and humidity inversely affected the daily number of deaths and new cases of COVID-19.

Keywords: SARS-CoV-2; COVID-19; GAMLSS; Temperature; Humidity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1007/s40745-021-00351-y

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