The collapse of the second Yatsenyuk government: roll call vote and dynamic network analysis

Natasha Kossovsky () and Kathleen M. Carley ()
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Natasha Kossovsky: Carnegie Mellon University
Kathleen M. Carley: Carnegie Mellon University

Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory, 2020, vol. 26, issue 1, No 5, 123-143

Abstract: Abstract This paper investigates the cause of the collapse of the Second Yatsenyuk Ukrainian government in 2016 and the factions formed throughout the process using a novel method that combines roll call vote analysis and dynamic network analysis. Our findings suggest that a major factor in the dissolution of the coalition government was the 2015 constitutional amendment .We also found that the coalition split into two factions following this event: the People’s Front and Petro Poroshenko Bloc as one faction, and the Union and Fatherland as the other. This split could have a large impact on the 2019 Ukrainian Election and give current President Petro Poroshenko an advantage over Yulia Tymoshenko, who is leading in the polls.

Keywords: Roll call voting analysis; Dynamic network analysis; Community detection; Coalition stability; Ukrainian parliament (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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DOI: 10.1007/s10588-019-09294-5

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