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Bias-optimal vol-of-vol estimation: the role of window overlapping

Giacomo Toscano () and Maria Cristina Recchioni ()
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Giacomo Toscano: University of Firenze and Scuola Normale Superiore
Maria Cristina Recchioni: Università Politecnica delle Marche

Decisions in Economics and Finance, 2022, vol. 45, issue 1, No 6, 137-185

Abstract: Abstract The simplest and most natural vol-of-vol estimator, the pre-estimated spot variance-based realized variance, is typically plagued by a large finite-sample bias. In this paper, we analytically show that allowing for the overlap of consecutive local windows to pre-estimate the spot variance may correct for this bias. In particular, we provide a feasible rule for the bias-optimal selection of the length of local windows when the volatility is a CKLS process. The effectiveness of this rule for practical applications is supported by numerical and empirical analyses.

Keywords: Stochastic volatility of volatility; High-frequency data; Bias optimization; CIR model; CKLS model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C13 C14 C58 G10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1007/s10203-021-00349-4

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