EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Extension, Compression, and Beyond: A Unique Classification System for Mortality Evolution Patterns

Matthias Börger, Martin Genz () and Jochen Ruß
Additional contact information
Matthias Börger: Institut für Finanz- und Aktuarwissenschaften (ifa)
Martin Genz: Institut für Finanz- und Aktuarwissenschaften (ifa)
Jochen Ruß: Institut für Finanz- und Aktuarwissenschaften (ifa)

Demography, 2018, vol. 55, issue 4, 1343-1361

Abstract: Abstract A variety of literature addresses the question of how the age distribution of deaths changes over time as life expectancy increases. However, corresponding terms such as extension, compression, or rectangularization are sometimes defined only vaguely, and statistics used to detect certain scenarios can be misleading. The matter is further complicated because mixed scenarios can prevail, and the considered age range can have an impact on observed mortality patterns. In this article, we establish a unique classification framework for realized mortality scenarios that allows for the detection of both pure and mixed scenarios. Our framework determines whether changes of the deaths curve over time show elements of extension or contraction; compression or decompression; left- or right-shifting mortality; and concentration or diffusion. The framework not only can test the presence of a particular scenario but also can assign a unique scenario to any observed mortality evolution. Furthermore, it can detect different mortality scenarios for different age ranges in the same population. We also present a methodology for the implementation of our classification framework and apply it to mortality data for U.S. females.

Keywords: Mortality scenario classification; Rectangularization; Shifting mortality; Extension; Compression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s13524-018-0694-3 Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:demogr:v:55:y:2018:i:4:d:10.1007_s13524-018-0694-3

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer.com/economics/journal/13524

Access Statistics for this article

Demography is currently edited by John D. Iceland, Stephen A. Matthews and Jenny Van Hook

More articles in Demography from Springer, Population Association of America (PAA)
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla ().

 
Page updated 2019-05-21
Handle: RePEc:spr:demogr:v:55:y:2018:i:4:d:10.1007_s13524-018-0694-3