Causal Impact of Having a College Degree on Women’s Fertility: Evidence From Regression Kink Designs

Hosung Sohn () and Suk-Won Lee
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Hosung Sohn: Chung-Ang University
Suk-Won Lee: Seoul National University

Demography, 2019, vol. 56, issue 3, No 8, 969-990

Abstract: Abstract An important factor speculated to affect fertility level is education. Theoretical predictions regarding whether education increases or decreases fertility are ambiguous. This study analyzes the causal impact of higher education on fertility using census data administered by Statistics Korea. To account for the endogeneity of education, this study exploits the Korean higher education reform initiated in 1993 that boosted women’s likelihood of graduating from college. Based on regression kink designs, we find that having a college degree reduces the likelihood of childbirths by 23 percentage points and the total number of childbirths by 1.3. Analyses of possible mechanisms show that labor market–related factors are a significant channel driving the negative effects; female college graduates are more likely to be wage earners and more likely to have high-wage occupations.

Keywords: Higher education; Female fertility; Regression kink designs; College degree (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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DOI: 10.1007/s13524-019-00771-9

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