Impact of Heat Stress on Subjective Well-being in Tanzania

Bernis Byamukama ()
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Bernis Byamukama: University of Gothenburg

Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, 2025, vol. 9, issue 3, No 3, 459-472

Abstract: Abstract This study estimates the causal impact of heat stress on subjective well-being in Tanzania by linking three waves of household panel data (2008-2013) with daily CHIRTS heat index measurements. Using a fixed effects ordered logit model, a one-degree Fahrenheit increase in the heat index results in a 0.236-point reduction in the probability of reporting higher life satisfaction, which is statistically significant at the 1% level. Effects are stronger among men and rural residents. We identify nonlinear threshold effects, with well-being losses intensifying above $$85^{\circ }\text {F}$$ 85 ∘ F . Results remain robust across alternative model specifications, heat metrics, and attrition adjustments. Findings highlight the urgent need for Africa-focused adaptation, including climate-resilient housing, occupational heat protections, and localized early warning systems.

Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1007/s41885-025-00177-5

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