Unemployment Hysteresis--Macro Evidence from 16 OECD Countries

Knut Røed ()

Empirical Economics, 1996, vol. 21, issue 4, 589-600

Abstract: This paper investigates empirically the presence of unemployment hysteresis in 16 OECD countries, applying aggregate quarterly unemployment rates covering the past 25 years. Alternative test procedures are discussed and employed, posing both stationarity and hysteresis as null hypotheses. The results suggest that hysteresis effects are highly significant in Australia and Canada and to a lesser extent also significant in most European countries and in Japan. Only in the USA, the presence of unemployment hysteresis is strongly and consistently rejected.

Date: 1996
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