Money demand, the Cagan model, testing rational expectations vs adaptive expectations: The case of Turkey

Kivilcim Metin Özcan and Ilker Muslu ()
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Ilker Muslu: Department of Economics, Bilkent University, 06533 Ankara, Turkey

Empirical Economics, 1999, vol. 24, issue 3, 415-426

Abstract: This paper estimates the Cagan type demand for money function for Turkish economy during the period 1986:1-1995:3 and tests whether Cagan's specification fits the Turkish data using an econometric technique assuming that forecasting errors are stationary. This paper also tests the hypothesis that monetary policy was implemented in aiming to maximize the inflation tax revenue. Finally, the Cagan model is estimated with the additional assumption of rational expectations for Turkey for the considered period.

Keywords: Adaptive; expectations; ·; cointegration; ·; hyperinflation; ·; inflation; tax; ·; money; demand; ·; rational; expectations; ·; unit; root (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C12 C32 E41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1999-08-16
Note: received: March 1998/final version received: October 1998
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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