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Demand uncertainty and capacity utilization in airlines

Diego Escobari and Jim Lee ()

Empirical Economics, 2014, vol. 47, issue 1, 19 pages

Abstract: This paper studies the relationship between demand uncertainty—the key source of excess capacity—and capacity utilization in the US airline industry. We present a simple theoretical model that predicts that lower demand realizations are associated with higher demand volatility. This prediction is strongly supported by the results of estimating a panel GARCH framework that pools unique data on capacity utilization across different flights and over various departure dates. A one unit increase in the standard deviation of unexpected demand decreases capacity utilization by 21 percentage points. The estimation controls for unobserved time-invariant specific characteristics as well as for systematic demand fluctuations. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2014

Keywords: Demand uncertainty; Capacity utilization; Airlines; Panel GARCH; GARCH-in-mean; C33; L93 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Working Paper: Demand Uncertainty and Capacity Utilization in Airlines (2013) Downloads
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DOI: 10.1007/s00181-013-0725-2

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