Tourism and growth in Lebanon: new evidence from bootstrap simulation and rolling causality approaches

Chor Foon Tang and Salah Abosedra
Additional contact information
Salah Abosedra: American University in the Emirates

Empirical Economics, 2016, vol. 50, issue 2, No 17, 679-696

Abstract: Abstract A multivariate model incorporating tourist arrivals, real output, and the real exchange rate is estimated to study the causal relationship between tourism and economic growth in Lebanon. This study covers the monthly data from January 1995 to December 2011. The Granger causality between the variables of interest is determined using the TYDL bootstrap causality approach. Then, we apply the Granger causality with rolling regression technique to evaluate the stability of the tourism-led growth hypothesis in Lebanon. We find that the tourism-led growth hypothesis is supported empirically in the case of the Lebanese economy. Meanwhile, we also find some evidences of uni-directional Granger causality running from the real exchange rate to tourism and economic growth in Lebanon. Therefore, tourism can be used a policy instrument to stimulate long-term economic growth in Lebanon.

Keywords: Bootstrap causality; Rolling causality; Tourism-growth; Lebanon (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 O11 O53 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (23)

Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00181-015-0944-9 Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:empeco:v:50:y:2016:i:2:d:10.1007_s00181-015-0944-9

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer. ... rics/journal/181/PS2

DOI: 10.1007/s00181-015-0944-9

Access Statistics for this article

Empirical Economics is currently edited by Robert M. Kunst, Arthur H.O. van Soest, Bertrand Candelon, Subal C. Kumbhakar and Joakim Westerlund

More articles in Empirical Economics from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().