Scenario of future e-waste generation and recycle-reuse-landfill-based disposal pattern in India: a system dynamics approach

Dipsikha Dasgupta, Anupam Debsarkar (), Tumpa Hazra, B. K. Bala, Amitava Gangopadhyay and Debasish Chatterjee
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Dipsikha Dasgupta: Jadavpur University
Anupam Debsarkar: Jadavpur University
Tumpa Hazra: Jadavpur University
B. K. Bala: Jessore University of Science and Technology
Amitava Gangopadhyay: S.D.E.T-Brainware Group of Institute
Debasish Chatterjee: University of Kalyani

Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, 2017, vol. 19, issue 4, No 21, 1473-1487

Abstract: Abstract The fundamental requirements of the e-waste management system are the forecasting of the future generation of e-waste and in situ planning to minimize the risk. The prediction analysis (a simulation exercise with base year 2012 and end year 2025) for several e-waste items (desktop, notebook, refrigerator, television and washing machine) reflects an increasing waste generation pattern. The present study deals with the prediction of e-waste generation and the percentage distribution of e-waste through different disposal pathways (landfill, second-hand market and recycling) based on the system dynamics approach (using STELLA software, version 8.0) for the purpose of improved management practice in near future in India. During the prediction of disposal options, the role, importance and functionality of various pathways are also critically analyzed. The simulation results indicate that the specific route of e-waste disposal will largely control the e-waste generation in India as informal sectors, in future, will solely utilize recycle and reuse pathways due to the economics of the specific components of the generated e-waste. On the other hand, the percentage of landfillable e-waste will decrease from 8.06 to 6.54 % within a decade (2012–2025). Finally, the study emphasizes on delineation of a well-composed guideline for policy orientation to protect the human health and environment, as e-waste items and their various components often emit toxic substances particularly during informal trade chain practices.

Keywords: System dynamics; Simulation; E-waste generation; Electronics appliances (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1007/s10668-016-9815-6

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