Sustainable economic rural development system pattern in Ghaemshahr: an application of the developed TOP-MARD core model

Komeil Mahjori Karmozdi (), Mohammad Reza Kohansal () and Mohammad Ghorbani ()
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Komeil Mahjori Karmozdi: Ferdowsi University of Mashhad
Mohammad Reza Kohansal: Ferdowsi University of Mashhad
Mohammad Ghorbani: Ferdowsi University of Mashhad

Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, 2020, vol. 22, issue 6, No 41, 5793-5817

Abstract: Abstract Attention to rural development is an important and undeniable necessity of regional and national development in any country. As a result, in this study, this issue has been assessed in the villages of Ghaemshahr city of Mazandaran Province in Iran. In this regard, the developed model of TOPMARD Core Model and 382 samples of villagers in Ghaemshahr city have been used. Vensim software has been used to analyze the information. Indicators used in this model include economic, social, environmental, physical, tourism and welfare indicators of villages. Three scenarios of agricultural support, non-agricultural support and environmental education were simulated. The model simulation results for existing conditions indicate that the welfare of villagers is declining over the coming years and the migration process from village to cities are increasing. The results of various policy simulations showed that the implementation of policies to increase the guaranteed price of purchases of agricultural products, increase the input support along with environmental education in order to understand the amount and manner of using fertilizer and pesticide and improvement in infrastructure and physical facilities such as creation, educational, health, cultural and rural infrastructure, including suitable roads for easier and less costly access to the market, as well as the presence of tourists to the villages, can play an important role in improving of the well-being of villagers, reducing poverty gap and reducing migration to the cities.

Keywords: System dynamic; Sustainable economic development; Ghaemshahr villages; Developed TOP-MARD core model; Physical index; Economic welfare of villagers (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O21 P16 Q01 Q56 R23 R28 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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DOI: 10.1007/s10668-019-00451-z

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