Effect of Western Development Strategy on carbon productivity and its influencing mechanisms

Cheng Zhang, Ziwei Zhao and Qunwei Wang ()
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Cheng Zhang: Nanjing University of Finance and Economics
Ziwei Zhao: Nankai University
Qunwei Wang: Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics

Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, 2022, vol. 24, issue 4, No 22, 4963-5002

Abstract: Abstract A systematic analysis of the policy effects, as well as the intrinsic influencing mechanisms, associated with China’s 1999 Western Development Strategy (WDS) can inform the high-quality implementation of China’s new round of WDS starting in 2020. This study specifically evaluated the policy effect of China’s 1999 WDS on carbon productivity. The Synthetic Control Method was used to generate the counterfactual path of carbon productivity that Western China could have achieved without WDS. The policy effect was measured as the difference between the treated value and counterfactual value (synthetic value) of carbon productivity. The Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index was then applied to analyze the intrinsic influencing mechanisms. The results were as follows. First, carbon productivity in most of the western provinces in China was affected by the WDS, showing negative effects; in other words, carbon productivity was increased. Second, the WDS affected the carbon productivity differently, with different intrinsic influencing mechanisms. The energy productivity effect of industry and the carbon emission share effect of service industries played a relatively large role, with the average degrees of influence accounting for 54.62% and 42.82% of the total effects, respectively. Other factors had a relatively small influence or showed regional heterogeneity.

Keywords: Western Development Strategy; Carbon productivity; Influencing mechanism; The synthetic control method (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1007/s10668-021-01642-3

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