Decomposition and sector aggregation analysis of indirect household carbon emission indicators: a case study of Guangdong Province in China

Xie Zeqiong () and He Junfei
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Xie Zeqiong: Guangzhou Institute of Energy Testing
He Junfei: Guangzhou Institute of Energy Testing

Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, 2022, vol. 24, issue 5, No 38, 6903-6924

Abstract: Abstract An accounting model for the indirect household carbon emission (HCE) by using input–output analysis and a decomposition model of indirect HCE based on the structure decomposition method were established. The effects of sector aggregation on the indirect HCE and the decomposition result were investigated using Guangdong Province of China, as example, the economic development of which ranks first in China. The results showed that the indirect HCE of Guangdong accounted for about 51.7% of the total carbon emissions of Guangdong in 2017, showing a clear urban–rural dual structure. The per capita indirect HCE in Guangdong Province increased from 0.98 tCO2 in 1997 to 2.53 tCO2 in 2017, an increase in approximately 116%. Among the influencing factors of indirect HCE, the carbon emission factor was the most important influencing factor resulting in its reduction. The per capita consumption expenditure of residents was the most important influencing factor to promote growth of indirect HCE. The negative effects of the technological upgrade on indirect HCE can offset the positive effects of the population factor; however, they cannot offset the positive effects of the consumption factor. With the improvement of the living standard of residents, the proportion of their consumption in service industry with low-carbon emission intensity gradually increased. This helped to inhibit the excessive growth of the indirect HCE. Sector aggregation exerted a certain effect on the calculation results of indirect HCE, but the effects on the changing trend and decomposition results of indirect HCE were not significant.

Keywords: Indirect household consumption; CO2 emissions; Sub-sector analysis; Input–output analysis; Complete decomposition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1007/s10668-021-01733-1

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