Cost–benefit analysis of road-transport policy options to combat air pollution in Turkey

Anna Kiziltan (), Mustafa Kiziltan (), Shihomi Ara Aksoy (), Merih Aydınalp Köksal (), Ş. Elçin Tekeli (), Nilhan Duran (), S. Yeşer Aslanoğlu (), Fatma Öztürk (), Nazan Özyürek (), Pervin Doğan (), Ağça Gül Yılmaz (), Canan Esin Köksal (), İrde Çetintürk Gürtepe (), Ahmet Burçin Yereli (), Mehmet Emin Birpınar () and Gülen Güllü ()
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Anna Kiziltan: Onbes Kasim Cyprus University
Mustafa Kiziltan: Hacettepe University
Shihomi Ara Aksoy: Hacettepe University
Merih Aydınalp Köksal: Hacettepe University
Ş. Elçin Tekeli: Hacettepe University
Nilhan Duran: Hacettepe Teknokent Technology Transfer Centre
S. Yeşer Aslanoğlu: Hacettepe University
Fatma Öztürk: Bolu Abant Izzet Baysal University
Nazan Özyürek: Ministry of Environment and Urbanization
Pervin Doğan: Ministry of Environment and Urbanization
Ağça Gül Yılmaz: Ministry of Environment and Urbanization
Canan Esin Köksal: Ministry of Environment and Urbanization
İrde Çetintürk Gürtepe: Ministry of Environment and Urbanization
Ahmet Burçin Yereli: Hacettepe University
Mehmet Emin Birpınar: Ministry of Environment and Urbanization
Gülen Güllü: Hacettepe University

Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, 2023, vol. 25, issue 10, No 10, 10765-10798

Abstract: Abstract Road-traffic-based air pollution accounts for one-third of the air pollution problem in Turkey. In order to combat this environmental issue and illustrate the possible direction of the road transport policy, five scenarios of withdrawing older vehicles from the fleet are analyzed using cost–benefit analysis (CBA) for 2020–2030. This article focuses on CBA’s economic dimension, while the cost of carbon and health costs are included to capture the integrated societal CBA. The economic net benefit is calculated based on tax revenues and foreign trade of major road transport factors such as fuel, vehicles, and scrap metal. The findings indicate that all alternative scenarios compared to the business-as-usual scenario result in a higher net benefit, ranging from 69 to 274 billion PPP US $, and justify implementing road-transport policies consistent with sustainable development goals to combat air pollution and ensure human health. This paper provides extensive evidence that vehicle fleet renewal is beneficial from economic, environmental, and public health perspectives.

Keywords: Cost–benefit analysis; Simulation method; Vehicle replacement; Turkey (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C53 D61 L62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1007/s10668-022-02504-2

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