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A hybrid dynamic model for building energy performance gap analysis: a perspective of energy-related stakeholder collaboration

Xiaoxiao Xu (), Oskar Casasayas () and Wenke Huang ()
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Xiaoxiao Xu: Nanjing Forestry University
Oskar Casasayas: Deakin University
Wenke Huang: Peng Cheng Laboratory

Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, 2024, vol. 26, issue 6, No 12, 13943-13977

Abstract: Abstract Lack of effective collaboration among energy-related stakeholders is considered as a critical factor that affects building energy performance. Although previous studies have explored energy-related stakeholders’ collaboration behavior, there is still a lack of simulation model that can be easily used for collaboration analysis with the consideration of dynamic nature, generality and practicability. To fill this gap, a hybrid dynamic model with the combination of system dynamic and agent-based modeling was developed in this study. Strict model structure tests and model behavior tests were conducted to validate the proposed model. To demonstrate the use of the hybrid model, a tentative exploration of the collaboration among stakeholders was presented. The simulation results showed that (1) a single policy of government subsidies has some limitations for promoting collaboration and improving building energy performance; (2) technical innovation can improve not only the rate but also the quality of collaboration; (3) the effect of long-term gain on collaboration and the building energy performance is sustained; (4) the penalties has an upper limit to reduce the building energy performance gap; (5) the integrated effect on the building energy performance may be less significant than that of the simple sum of each strategy; and (6) there is an incremental and then decreasing marginal utility of integrated strategies. The hybrid model provides quantitative research methods to better analyze the collaboration among energy-related stakeholders. Both the dynamic collaboration decision process and the bounded rationality of stakeholders have been considered.

Keywords: Collaboration; Building energy performance; System dynamics; Agent-based model; Hybrid dynamic model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1007/s10668-023-03174-4

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