Vulnerability assessment in economy-society environment of the Belt and Road Initiative countries

Yuxin Chen, Bing Liu () and Fan Zhang ()
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Yuxin Chen: Shandong University of Science and Technology
Bing Liu: Shandong University of Science and Technology
Fan Zhang: Chinese Academy of Sciences

Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, 2024, vol. 26, issue 8, No 97, 21529-21552

Abstract: Abstract Assessing the vulnerability of the economy, society, and environment of the belt and road initiative (BRI) countries and identifying the distribution characteristics are significant to promoting the construction of the Belt and Road. Based on the panel data of the BRI countries, this study selects 22 indicators from three aspects of the economy, society, and environment to construct a comprehensive indicator evaluation system and propose a multi-index and long time series vulnerability calculation scheme. Furthermore, the spatial differentiation characteristics and influencing factors of vulnerability in BRI countries are studied. The results show hierarchical differences in the comprehensive vulnerability index of BRI countries, and the low-vulnerability countries accounted for the largest proportion. The economic vulnerability, social vulnerability, and environmental vulnerability of the BRI countries all have apparent spatial variations. Among them, the vulnerability of various systems in Central and Eastern Europe and Northeast Asia is relatively low, while most of West Asia, northern South Asia, southern Central Asia, and some parts of Southeast Asia have relatively high vulnerability. In addition, economic development, economic structure, resource security, and infrastructure are all factors that have a greater impact on the comprehensive vulnerability, while the impact intensity varies with regional differences. Finally, this paper puts forward appropriate suggestions. With the goal of reducing the comprehensive vulnerability, this paper tries to provide a reference for better promoting the sustainable development of the BRI.

Keywords: The Belt and Road; Vulnerability assessment; Spatial variation; Influence factors (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1007/s10668-023-03542-0

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