Research on the path of industrial sector's carbon peak based on the perspective of provincial differentiation: a case study from China

Yujie Zhang, Qingsong Wang (), Shu Tian, Yue Xu, Xueliang Yuan, Qiao Ma, Haichao Ma, Shuo Yang, Yuan Xu and Chengqing Liu
Additional contact information
Yujie Zhang: Shandong University
Qingsong Wang: Shandong University
Shu Tian: Shandong University
Yue Xu: Shandong University
Xueliang Yuan: Shandong University
Qiao Ma: Shandong University
Haichao Ma: Shandong University
Shuo Yang: Shandong University
Yuan Xu: Shandong University
Chengqing Liu: Shandong Normal University

Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, 2024, vol. 26, issue 9, No 52, 23245-23282

Abstract: Abstract Carbon emissions in the industrial sector have received widespread attention around the world, and achieving carbon peak in the industrial sector has become an important component of achieving sustainable development. However, there are significant differences in the level of industrial development across different regions in some countries, and a differentiated peak path needs to be formulated accordingly. In this paper, we construct a methodology system for industrial carbon peak, which includes “sector clustering—factor decomposition—scenario analysis—path selection.” We design a national industrial carbon peak path at the provincial level and conduct empirical analysis using China as an example. The results show that industrial investment scale is the most important factor promoting the growth of carbon emissions in each plate. The Chinese government’s goal of achieving carbon peak in the industrial sector before 2030 is highly reasonable and feasible. By comprehensively considering emission reduction effectiveness and implementation difficulty, the best industrial peak path is selected. The corresponding ratio of China’s industrial carbon emissions in 2030 to the benchmark year is most likely to be between 1.043 and 1.054, and the degree of implementation difficulty is moderate. In addition, several differentiated macro-policy recommendations for each cluster’s development are proposed based on their actual development, which can provide useful references and guidance for local governments in formulating their development plans.

Keywords: Industrial sector; Gravitational model; GDIM; Scenario combination; Carbon peak path (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10668-023-03598-y Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:endesu:v:26:y:2024:i:9:d:10.1007_s10668-023-03598-y

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer.com/economics/journal/10668

DOI: 10.1007/s10668-023-03598-y

Access Statistics for this article

Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development is currently edited by Luc Hens

More articles in Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().