Revealing the driving factors for structure changes of regional water consumption: an empirical study of the middle route project of the South-to-North Water Diversion in China

Yuntong Zhao (), Li Guo (), Yun Li (), Yixin Zhu () and Zhe Cheng ()
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Yuntong Zhao: Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology
Li Guo: Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology
Yun Li: Xi’an Jiaotong University
Yixin Zhu: Xi’an Jiaotong University
Zhe Cheng: Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology

Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, 2025, vol. 27, issue 5, No 25, 10415-10438

Abstract: Abstract The South-to-North Water Diversion (SNWD) is a mega water infrastructure project that aims to alleviate the water shortage in northern China and promote regional sustainable development. To quantitatively evaluates the structure changes and driving factors of water consumption in the four provinces along the middle route project of SNWD (MRP-SNWD) after the operation of the MRP-SNWD, this study takes domestic, agricultural, and industrial water consumption as the objects, employs the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) model to identify the changes in water consumption and the contribution rate of the driving effects based on data from 2014 to 2020. The structure, technical, economic, population, irrigation, and production effects have varied degrees of influence on regional demotic, agricultural, and industrial water consumption. Additionally, there is a significant spatial variability in the contribution rates of the driving forces behind water consumption changes. This study contributes to integrated water resources management and sustainable water development by providing a scientific basis for efficient use of regional water resources.

Keywords: Middle route project of South-to-North Water Diversion; Water consumption; Driving factor; LMDI model; Water governance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1007/s10668-023-04316-4

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