Assessment for the response and uncertainty of energy poverty to climate extremes in China

Jingping Zuo () and Cuncun Qian
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Jingping Zuo: Xi’an Technological University
Cuncun Qian: Xi’an Jiaotong University

Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, 2025, vol. 27, issue 7, No 43, 16135-16153

Abstract: Abstract With increasing energy demand, energy poverty (EP) caused by climate extremes is becoming a significant concern in China, which has great differences in geographical environment and social development. This paper aims to quantify the response and uncertainty of EP to climate extremes in China from 2002 to 2021 by integrally using the econometric model, geographically weighted regression, and uncertainty assessment model. The results indicate that EP varies in response to climate extremes in China. Temperature extremes indices CSDI, TXn, and DTR change by 1% will cause EP changes of 0.0020%, − 0.0036%, and 0.0544%, respectively, while precipitation extremes indices R10mm, CDD, and CWD change by 1% will cause EP changes of − 0.0034%, 0.0002%, and 0.0021%, respectively. The responses of EP to climate extremes exhibit heterogeneity. EP responds more to TXn, DTR, R10mm, and CDD in the east coast, except CWD. CSDI affects it more in the southwest and DTR and CWD in the northwest. Moreover, the EP uncertainty under the temperature and precipitation extremes differs considerably, with uncertainties of about 0.47–9.13% and 0.26–76.00%. The results of this study contribute new evidences from China for the response and uncertainty of EP to climate extremes, which can provide useful references for related researches.

Keywords: Energy poverty; Climate extremes; Uncertainty; Assessment; China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-04594-6

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