Spatial correlation and allometric growth relationship between economic development and carbon emission in Lanzhou–Xining urban agglomeration

Qingfang Liu, Jinping Song (), Teqi Dai, Huiran Han, Jianhui Xu, Jianmei Li and Enru Wang
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Qingfang Liu: Beijing Normal University
Jinping Song: Beijing Normal University
Teqi Dai: Beijing Normal University
Huiran Han: Anhui Normal University
Jianhui Xu: Chuzhou University
Jianmei Li: Chuzhou University
Enru Wang: University of North Dakota

Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, 2025, vol. 27, issue 7, No 87, 17282 pages

Abstract: Abstract This study utilizes the trajectory of the gravity center, bivariate spatial autocorrelation analysis, and the allometric growth model to comprehensively reveal spatial correlation between economic development (ED) and carbon emission (CE) in the Lanzhou–Xining urban agglomeration (LXUA). Moreover, the study unveils the allometric growth relationship between these two. The results are shown as followings. First, the movement trajectory of ED and CE were relatively consistent from 2000 to 2020 in LXUA. Second, there was a significant spatial correlation between ED and CE, with higher level of economic development tending to correspond to higher carbon emission. Third, however, the allometric growth relationship between ED and CE was predominantly negative. With the increasing rate of ED outpacing that of CE in most counties, signifying a shift towards green development in the region. Moreover, the number of counties with downward change of allometric growth relationship was greater than that with upward change. These insights enhance our understanding of LXUA’s environmental landscape and provide valuable guidance for sustainable, low-carbon urban agglomeration development.

Keywords: Economic development; Carbon emission; Spatial correction; Allometric growth relationship; Lanzhou–Xining urban agglomeration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-04605-6

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