Proximity to hubs of expertise and financial analyst forecast accuracy

Elisa Cavezzali (), Jacopo Crepaldi () and Ugo Rigoni

Eurasian Business Review, 2014, vol. 4, issue 2, 157-179

Abstract: This paper investigates whether the geographical proximity of financial analysts to hubs of information and expertise can influence their forecasting accuracy. Recent studies show that the financial analyst forecasting process show a systematic difference in earnings forecast accuracy dependent on the geographical distance of analysts from the companies they follow. The literature argues that local analysts issue more accurate forecasts because they have an informational advantage over analysts who are further away. Industrial centres can constitute important knowledge spillovers by creating formal and informal networks amongst firms and higher education and research institutions. In such a hub, information can easily flow and propagate. Our hypothesis is that physical proximity to these hubs, and not to the companies they follow, is an advantage for financial analysts, leading to the issue of more accurate forecasts. Using a sample of 205 observations related to 33 firms, across seven countries and ten sectors, our results are consistent with the hypothesis. Copyright Eurasia Business and Economic Society 2014

Keywords: Forecast accuracy; Sell-side analysts; Geography; Hubs of knowledge (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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DOI: 10.1007/s40821-014-0007-8

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