OPTIMIRUS. Simulating Population Change in the Russian Far East

Katja Mueller () and Michael J. Bradshaw
Additional contact information
Katja Mueller: Point Topic Ltd
Michael J. Bradshaw: University of Leicester

European Journal of Population, 2006, vol. 22, issue 2, No 1, 105-125

Abstract: Abstract This article examines the population trends in the cities of the Russian Far East between the two census years 1989 and 2002. Three geographical models – Rank-Size Rule, Temperature per Capita and a simple gravity model – are used to describe the direction of these population trends. An economic efficiency function is constructed from the three models to simulate an ideal population distribution for the Russian Far East. The heart of the simulation is a conjugate gradient optimisation of the economic efficiency function. The results serve as an important backdrop to discussions of current population trends and serve as an important backdrop to discussions of current population trends and as basis for recommendations concerning future changes in the spatial distribution of population in the region.

Keywords: conjugate gradient optimisation; Far East Russia; population simulation; 2002 Census; Temperature per Capita Index; optimisation par gradient conjugué; Extrême-Orient russe; simulation de population; recensement 2002; indice de température par tête (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10680-005-4769-7 Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:eurpop:v:22:y:2006:i:2:d:10.1007_s10680-005-4769-7

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer.com/economics/journal/10680

DOI: 10.1007/s10680-005-4769-7

Access Statistics for this article

European Journal of Population is currently edited by Helga A.G. de Valk

More articles in European Journal of Population from Springer, European Association for Population Studies
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().