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Economic policy uncertainty and the US stock market trading: non-ARDL evidence

Bakhtiar Javaheri (), Fateh Habibi () and Ramin Amani ()
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Bakhtiar Javaheri: University of Kurdistan
Fateh Habibi: University of Kurdistan
Ramin Amani: University of Kurdistan

Future Business Journal, 2022, vol. 8, issue 1, 1-10

Abstract: Abstract The present study investigates the impact of economic policy uncertainty, and economic factors on the stock market index in the USA using Non-ARDL and Quantile models. The findings reveal that declining economic and economic-political factors will increase the stock market index in the US. The results indicate that the effect of inflation and GDP variables follows a nonlinear pattern. Similar results using quantitative regression showed asymmetric impacts of inflation and GDP on stock market transactions.

Keywords: Economic policy uncertainty; Economic factors; Stock market; Non-ARDL; United States (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C01 C32 G10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1186/s43093-022-00150-8

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