Cross-market information spillover and the performance of technical trading in the foreign exchange market

Yung-Ho Chang ()
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Yung-Ho Chang: Tunghai University

Journal of Economics and Finance, 2019, vol. 43, issue 2, No 1, 227 pages

Abstract: Abstract This study evaluates the effect of cross-market information spillover on the performance of popular variable-length moving averages (VMAs) for trading the daily exchange rates of New Taiwan Dollars to US Dollars (FXNTD/USD). Information incorporated in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and Taiwan Stock Index (TWSI) is introduced to study the effect. The results indicate that VMAs outperform the buy-and-hold strategy. Moreover, the information reflected in the DJIA and TWSI promotes the performance of VMAs. After correcting for data snooping bias, the DJIA is more informative than FXNTD/USD and the TWSI for VMAs.

Keywords: technical trading; cross-market information spillover; foreign exchange rates; Superior Predictive Ability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1007/s12197-018-9440-3

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