Direct and indirect transmission of avian influenza: results from a calibrated agent-based model

Amanda Beaudoin () and Alan Isaac
Additional contact information
Amanda Beaudoin: Minnesota Department of Health

Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, 2023, vol. 18, issue 1, No 7, 212 pages

Abstract: Abstract This paper develops an agent-based model of the spread of highly pathogenic avian influenza in a regional poultry sector. Spatially located flocks and flock owners interact with each other within a realistic regional geography. A specific regional poultry industry in Thailand shapes the model details: production practices that affect bio-containment, key transportation routes and methods, commercial and social networks, and an unusually detailed tabulation of flock types, flock owners, and human behaviors. Model simulations follow disease spread from an initial infection through both direct and indirect transmission pathways. This demonstrates how to realistically calibrate a model of disease spread to a regional poultry industry, while attending to the relative importance of different pathways. Despite its region-specific calibration, the model design facilitates easy adaptation to similar settings. This supports public policy by providing a modeling framework that may be used to simulate interventions to reduce or prevent the regional transmission of avian influenza.

Keywords: Avian influenza; Epidemiology; Agent-based; Regional economics; Calibration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11403-022-00353-w Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:jeicoo:v:18:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s11403-022-00353-w

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer. ... ry/journal/11403/PS2

DOI: 10.1007/s11403-022-00353-w

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination is currently edited by A. Namatame, Thomas Lux and Shu-Heng Chen

More articles in Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination from Springer, Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().