True lies

David Hugh-Jones

Journal of the Economic Science Association, 2019, vol. 5, issue 2, No 9, 255-268

Abstract: Abstract Garbarino et al. (J Econ Sci Assoc. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40881-018-0055-4, 2018) describe a new method to calculate the probability distribution of the proportion of lies told in “coin flip” style experiments. I show that their estimates and confidence intervals are flawed. I demonstrate two better ways to estimate the probability distribution of what we really care about—the proportion of liars—and I provide R software to do this.

Keywords: Lying; Experiment; Estimation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C81 C91 D03 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1007/s40881-019-00069-x

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